I wrote about the latest HarrisX/Forbes poll on Wednesday, which was bad for Vice President Kamala Harris, and how that’s started to bring even the popular vote within potential reach of former President Donald Trump.
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But the new Wall Street Journal poll is even more devastating for her and great for Trump.
That poll now has Trump up by three, head-to-head, 49 to 46 percent. It’s moved four points toward Trump over the past month. In the full field, that’s 47 to 45 percent.
🇺🇲 National poll by Wall Street Journal
2-WAY
🟥 Trump: 49%
🟦 Harris: 46%Last poll (9/28) – 🔵 Harris +1
——
FULL FIELD
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟦 Harris: 45%Last poll – 🔵 Harris +2
——
October 19-22 | N=1,500https://t.co/pCIMQoFVWf— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 24, 2024
That’s in line with HarrisX (+2 for Trump) and Rasmussen (+3 for Trump), and that’s not even counting her latest mess in the CNN town hall.
READ MORE: Nate Silver’s Latest Remarks and New HarrisX Poll Are Going to Make Dems Lose Their Minds
The other tale is the approval ratings.
Views of Harris have turned more negative since August, when equal shares of voters viewed her favorably and unfavorably. Now, the unfavorable views are dominant by 8 percentage points, 53% to 45%. Moreover, voters give Harris her worst job rating as vice president in the three times the Journal has asked about it since July, with 42% approving and 54% disapproving of her performance.
By contrast, views of Trump have turned rosier. Voters recall his time as president more positively than at any point in this election cycle, with 52% approving and 48% disapproving of his performance in office—a 4-point positive job rating that contrasts with the 12-point negative rating for Harris.
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So Trump has over 50 percent approval at 52 percent, while Harris is underwater, 10 points lower than Trump. Trump’s numbers have moved to the highest point they’ve been in this election cycle and hers to the lowest, at 42 percent, with 54 percent disapproving.
Moreover, on the most important issue of the economy, Trump has the edge.
Moreover, voters give Trump a solid edge in most cases when asked about the candidates’ agendas and policies. By 10 points, more voters have a favorable than unfavorable view of Trump’s economic plan for the country, while unfavorable views of Harris’s economic plan outweigh positive views by 4 points.
What does the mean for the Real Clear Politics average? It’s at 0.2 for the national vote, essentially a tie.
The RealClearPolitics average is down to +0.2 point lead for Harris with the inclusion of the WSJ poll… pic.twitter.com/EcvTdxQNMN
— Daniel Vaughan (@dvaughanCI) October 24, 2024
Meanwhile, Trump continues to lead all the battleground states, with 0.9 overall.
Now you know why they’re breaking out the Hitler smear jobs and October surprises — because it looks like it’s slipping away from her. But that’s only likely to make things worse as the voters see that desperation.
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Kamala’s performance tonight, combined with the WSJ poll and the fact that the supposed October surprises aren’t really delivering, conjures thoughts of my favorite character from Monsters Inc., the pundit who looks like a pencil. pic.twitter.com/uIpS8GStqZ
— John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) October 24, 2024
Remember also that at this point in 2020, Joe Biden was up 8.1 percent in the national vote, and Hillary Clinton was up 5.5 in 2016. In the final result, Hillary was up 2.1 percent and she lost the Electoral College.
Even with that, it can’t be said enough: Assume nothing and get everyone out to vote.
