By Katelyn Caralle, Senior Political Reporter
Published: 07:57 EDT, 1 November 2024 | Updated: 23:34 EDT, 1 November 2024
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With four days until Election Day, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are in the final sprint of a nailbiting race with competing rallies in Wisconsin.
A new USA TODAY/Suffolk shows the candidates are tied in the critical state of Pennsylvania at 49 percent.
In Nevada, another battleground, Harris (48 percent) is ahead of Trump by one point (47 percent), with two percent supporting a third party candidate.
Nearly 60 million ballots have already been cast, and the number of new voters in the swing states that will decide the election exceeds the 2020 race.
In the betting markets, Trump is the favorite to win but the vice president has closed the gap in the odds in the last few days.
Follow all the developments at DailyMail.com’s live blog below.
To look at where the polls stand in the critical swing states, click HERE.
Trump slams ‘war hawk’ Liz Cheney during Michigan coffee shop stop
‘She’s a war haw, she kills people,’ Trump said on Friday about former Rep. Liz Cheney while campaigning in Michigan. ‘She wants to go kill people unnecessarily.’
‘She’s actually a disgrace,’ he added.
He was seemingly doubling down on comments made last night.
Trump sparked outrage after asking how Cheney would feel with ‘guns trained on her face’ while speaking Thursday evening in Arizona.
He called Cheney a ‘dumb war hawk’ and suggested she face a firing squad during an event with Tucker Carlson.
The state’s Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes said she’s investigating his comments as a ‘death threat’ against Cheney.
Earlier Friday, Kamala Harris slammed Trump for his comments, saying it ‘disqualified’ him to be president.
Trump’s lead slips slightly in Daily Mail election model but he remains favorite to win Electoral College
Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent for DailyMail.com
Our friends at J.L. Partners have updated their election model with all the latest polling data. And it shows Trump’s recent surge trimmed back as a number of swing state polls cancel each other out.
The overall picture in the swing states has not changed, except for minor movements.
Arizona – Trump’s win probability increased by less than a point. LIKELY TRUMP
Georgia – The change is less than 0.1 point. LIKELY TRUMP
Michigan – Trump’s lead drops by 1.4 points. TOSSUP TRUMP
Nevada – Trump’s win probability increases by 1.2 points. LEAN TRUMP
North Carolina – Moves to Harris by less than a point. LIKELY TRUMP
Pennsylvania – Moves to Harris by less than a point. LEAN TRUMP
Wisconsin – A one-point movement away from Trump. TOSSUP TRUMP
When the simulations are run, the most frequent outcome is Trump sweeping all seven battlegrounds, giving him an overall win frequency of 64.7 percent.
But that does not mean Harris is out of it. As Callum Hunter, J.L. Partners data scientist, points out:
Little has changed over the past week with Trump largely back to where he was a couple of weeks ago. Internal genetic algorithm modelling forecasted that this was going to be the case – a small Trump surge followed by him falling back to his previous position. With just three full days left until voters go to the ballot box it seems unlikely our model will converge to a 50-50 split. Trump still wins in nearly two-thirds of simulations but we always have to be cautious. Just because Trump is ahead in the probabilities does not mean he will win, there is still a one in three chance Harris will carry the Electoral College.
Comedian Keegan-Michael Key cheers on Harris supporters shouting ‘total bull**** at rally
Comedian Keegan-Michael Key made an enthusiastic appearance at a Kamala Harris rally in Milwaukee
When Key started talking about Donald Trump, a group of Harris supporters started shouting what sounded like ‘total bullshit!’
Key laughed and asked the crowd to be quiet so the group could repeat themselves so everyone could hear.
Robert F. Kennedy tells Trump crowd: ‘I do not want your vote’
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Milwaukee, Wis., for DailyMail.com
Speaking to the crowd at Trump’s rally in Milwaukee on Friday night Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told the crowd in no uncertain terms he does not want their vote.
He noted to the Wisconsin crowd how his name will appear on the ballot.
So he reminded them: ‘I do not want your vote.’
He urged the crowd to vote for Donald J. Trump instead.
Missouri and Oklahoma senators open for Trump at Milwaukee rally
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Milwaukee, Wis., for DailyMail.com
Sens. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma and Eric Schmitt of Missouri opened for Donald Trump Friday night.
Mullin decried the overbearing federal government and proposed Trump as the imminent solution to the overregulation.
Schmitt, meanwhile, riled up the crowd cheering on Trump as the future 47th president of the U.S.
Rapper GloRilla performs ‘censored’ hits at Kamala Harris rally
Rapper GloRilla took the stage at a Kamala Harris rally in Milwaukee on Friday, where she performed two of her hits: ‘Hollon’ and ‘Yeah Glo.’
Many of her lyrics were censored, leading some her to speculate whether her microphone was broken.
Voters receive ‘creepy’ pamphlets from Democrat-linked group ‘intimidating’ them into casting a ballot
Maryland voters have been getting ‘intimidating’ letters that keep tabs of which of their neighbors have or have not voted – in a tactic Maryland’s attorney general called ‘unnerving.’
The letters, from the so-called Voter Participation Center, a nonprofit, remind voters that whether or not they vote is a ‘public record.’
The letter lists the voting status of neighbors as well, with street information and names redacted.
‘We will be reviewing these records after the election to determine whether or not you joined your neighbors in voting,’ the letter warns, in language some called threatening.
Fire department blasted over outrageous Halloween stunt featuring Kamala Harris in chains
A fire department has been raked over the coals for a Halloween parade float depicting Kamala Harris in chains.
Mount Pleasant Volunteer Fire Department shocked spectators with the outrageous stunt during the spectacle in the small town in swing state Pennsylvania.
A woman in a suit, standing in for the vice president, was chained by her wrists to the back of a golf cart with a Donald Trump banner and led along the route.
On the float were two men dressed like Secret Service agents and third as a sniper holding a rifle.
Even Trump allies like the local Westmoreland County Republican Committee chairman, Bill Bretz, were outraged by the float.
‘We certainly don’t condone the simulation of political imprisonment or violence in any context, no matter what the party affiliation of those involved,’ he said.
Bretz’s Democratic counterpart, Michelle Milan McFall, was even more scathing in her condemnation.
White House gives a bizarre response when asked why Biden’s ‘garbage’ comments were altered
Press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said President Joe Biden wanted to be a ‘president of all Americans’ when asked why the press office changed a transcript to make it look he didn’t call Trump supporters ‘garbage.’
On Tuesday, as Vice President Kamala Harris was making her grand ‘closing argument’ speech on the Ellipse, Biden was sticking his foot in his mouth as he gave his two cents on a Trump-aligned comedian calling Puerto Rico a ‘floating island of garbage.’
Biden said on the call: ‘The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters – his – his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.’
But a transcript sent out by the White House press office read ‘supporter’s’ instead – the grammatical construction for a singular supporter – comedian Tony Hinchcliffe.
The Associated Press reported Thursday that the transcript had been altered by Biden’s press staff over objections from the official White House stenographers, government employees who stay on staff regardless of who’s the president.
Obama raps to Eminem’s ‘Lose Yourself’ with Tim Walz
Trump reflects on nine years of MAGA rallies as his time on the campaign draws to a close
Trump says Democrats want ‘no more windows or cows’
Supreme Court allows Pennsylvania to count contested provisional ballots in blow for Republicans
The Supreme Court on Friday rejected an emergency appeal from Republicans that could have led to thousands of provisional ballots not being counted in the battleground state.
The justices left in place a state Supreme Court ruling that elections officials must count provisional ballots cast by voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected.
As of Thursday, about 9,000 ballots out of more than 1.6 million returned have arrived at elections offices around Pennsylvania lacking a secrecy envelope, a signature or a date, according to state records.
Pennsylvania is the biggest presidential election battleground this year, with 19 electoral votes.
Megyn Kelly’s dystopian prediction for America if Kamala wins: ‘Insanity on steroids
No matter who is elected president on Tuesday, America is in for a rough ride, says Megyn Kelly.
But, if Vice President Kamala Harris wins the White House, the veteran journalist paints a truly dystopian vision of the country’s future.
A Harris victory ‘would just be such a dark day’, Kelly tells DailyMail.com in an exclusive interview with just days to go before the 2024 election.
For one, Kelly – who hosts The Megyn Kelly Show – has no faith that Harris would confront the country’s raging illegal immigrant crisis.
‘How are we going to stem the flow of illegals into this country?’ Kelly asks. ‘[Harris is] not interested in doing that at all, the same way her boss was not interested in doing that.’
Voters reveal who they’d place money on winning election – as mesmerizing Times Square live ad reveals bets
Voters told DailyMail.com who they’d put their money on between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris to win the election Tuesday.
More than ever before, betting markets have begun to rival the polls in terms of how people see elections.
Tens of millions of dollars have already been put down to try and win money on the democratic process.
As a billboard in Times Square showed live, real-time bets being placed on the election, we asked people walking through The Crossroads of the World who they’d gamble their cash on.
While many were skeptical of using their own money, one man confessed to already having put $1,200 on a Trump victory.
Neon worker vests brighten up Donald Trump rally in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Milwaukee, Wis., for DailyMail.com
Neon yellow and orange vests could be spotted everywhere in Fiserv Forum Friday night at Donald Trump’s final campaign rally in Wisconsin.
The types of vests and neon hues varied but all were an obvious homage to the Trump truck stunt.
Polls heading into Election Day are essentially tied and within the margins of error,
Harris was similarly in Wisconsin on Friday just miles down the road at an event with rapper Cardi B.
Cardi B to join Kamala Harris for campaign rally in Milwaukee
Vice President Kamala Harris is hosting a campaign rally in Wisconsin this evening at a Milwaukee rally featuring rapper Cardi B.
The campaign rally will take place at the Exposition Center at the Wisconsin State Fair, a building that can seat up to 10,000 people.
The campaign has also listed performances this evening from DJ Gemini Gilly, Flo Milli, GloRilla, The Isley Brothers, and MC Lyte.
Wistful Trump reflects on nine years of MAGA rallies – and warns it could all be for nothing if Kamala wins
From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspodent in Dearborn, Michigan
Donald Trump is not a man overly given to reflection. But he cut a briefly forlorn figure on Friday afternoon as he told his supporters that after nine years he was holding some of his last ever campaign rallies.
‘We’re winding down,’ he told a crowd in Warren, just outside Detroit, Michigan.
‘Nine years we’ve been doing it, right? And now we’re winding down.’
Aides have frequently described how Trump thrives off his rally audiences, coming away energized after entertaining arenas crammed with fans for upwards of 90 minutes at a time.
He has made the format his own since descending the golden escalator in 2015, even adapting them to outdoor, airfield events during the pandemic-hit 2020 campaign.
Did Kamala Harris work at McDonald’s? All the evidence the VP did – or didn’t – serve fries and ice cream
Vice President Kamala Harris remains unable to prove her claim she worked at McDonald’s while she was a college student, despite repeated taunting from former President Donald Trump.
‘I’ve now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala at McDonald’s,’ Trump told reporters and customers after he made French fries and served food out of the drive-thru service window on Sunday.
The Harris campaign maintains that Harris worked at a McDonald’s location on Central Avenue in Alameda, California during the summer after her freshman year at Howard University in 1983.
But staff at the restaurant have reportedly been sworn to secrecy and when DailyMail.com contacted them to ask, an employee said ‘no, sorry’.
Campaign calls scratch Biden after ‘garbage’ gaffe
‘Multiple’ campaign calls that had been set to include President Joe Biden Thursday have been scrapped, according to a report.
It comes after Biden’s comment on a zoom fundraiser caused an uproar when he appeared to call Donald Trump’s supporters ‘garbage.’ (The White House claims Biden was referring to offensive comments by a Trump supporter, but has taking heat over an official transcript about it).
None of the cancelled calls were affiliated with the Kamala Harris campaign, according to Fox News, which reported it. But it points to the potential for a Biden gaffe to upset a closely-contested race. He has no announced public events in the final days of the campaign.
What happens if the election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris ends in an electoral college tie?
As the 2024 general election season heats up, Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a tight race that could come down to just a few thousand votes in several battleground states.
But with polls calling the race too close to call, maybe even the closest in modern history, there’s a question over whether either major party presidential hopeful will reach the necessary 270 Electoral College votes to win the November 5 election outright.
Each candidate needs to find a path to victory that inevitably winds through crucial – and currently within the polling margin of error swing states.
But even then, there is a scenario where the election results in neither candidate winning the required majority in the Electoral College and could tie 269-269.
So what then? Well, it has happened before – albeit not in 200 years!
Republicans expand investigation into White House’s ‘revision’ of Biden’s ‘garbage’ remarks
Inside Trump’s extraordinary attempt to flip Michigan by courting his most improbable supporters in America’s Muslim capital
Donald Trump became the first of the two main candidates to visit the so-called Muslim capital of the nation when he stopped in at a halal cafe in Dearborn, Michigan, to court Arab-American voters.
‘This is Trump country,’ shouted a guest as the former president toured The Great Commoner restaurant.
Trump told reporters traveling with him that the visit was part of an effort to make inroads with Lebanese people and Muslim voters.
It was an extraordinary moment for a man still hated by many Arab-Americans for the ‘Muslim ban’ imposed when he took office in 2016.
But the war in Gaza has turned the politics of Dearborn—where the population is 55 percent Muslim—upside down.
Republicans write letter demanding info on IRS whistleblower retaliation
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter for DailyMail.com
Three Republicans wrote a letter to the Office of the Special Counsel to ask what has occurred in the probe of some IRS whistleblowers.
Reps. James Comer, Jim Jordan and Jason Smith, all committee chairmen, wrote to the agency about investigations into ‘whether the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) committed prohibited personnel practices against IRS Supervisory Special Agent (SSA) Gary Shapley and IRS Special Agent (SA) Joseph Ziegler.’
The letter comes after one of the whistleblowers recently did an interview and IRS personnel asked him to resign shortly after.
Avengers stars led by Scarlett Johansson mocked for video saying Kamala Harris is ‘down with democracy’
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter for DailyMail.com
Avengers! Assemble! To record an excruciatingly awkward Kamala Harris endorsement video.
Scarlett Johansson, Chris Evans, Robert Downey Jr., Mark Ruffalo, Danai Gurira, Don Cheadle and Paul Bettany released a collaboration half cringe and half comedy.
The stars from the Marvel ‘Avengers’ series wanted to make their political endorsement of the Democrat known just ahead of the election.
In the nearly two-minute video the Hollywood actors discuss coming up with a new slogan for Harris and eventually settle on the purposefully ill-conceived: ‘down with democracy.’
The comedy stint didn’t seem to land well and users on social media mercilessly tore into the obviously scripted political stunt immediately.
Tim Walz breaks silence on Donald Trump’s Liz Cheney remarks
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter for DailyMail.com
Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Walz hit back at Donald Trump after the former president remarked on Liz Cheney.
Trump spoke about how Cheney, who he sees as more keen on war than others, would not like guns to be pointed at her and many have said that’s violent.
‘Well, it’s sickening but not surprising. This is exactly what [Trump] does,’ Walz said during a radio interview.
‘He continues to churn up this type of talk. It inspires his way of thinking about things. But the good news is that there’s an antidote to this, the firewall that is voting for Kamala Harris is how we stop this.’
‘This is why we need to get that new way forward that the vice president keeps talking about that is truly American. So it just inspires me to go work more. But it is unacceptable behavior and that’s why Donald Trump needs to get nowhere near the Oval Office.’
Trump takes the stage in Warren, Michigan: ‘We’re winding down’
Donald Trump is in the crucial swing state of Michigan, where he just took the stage at Macomb Community College in Warren, near Detroit.
He signaled he is thinking about the next phase of the election: Election Day and what comes next.
We’re winding down. Nine years we’ve been doing it right, and now we’re winding down, and hopefully we’ll be going to the next phase, which is turning our country around. Because we’ve got a little bit of a mess to take care of, don’t we?
Alicia Keys to join Michelle Obama campaigning for Kamala Harris
Singer Alicia Keys is the latest big name to join Kamala Harris’ Get Out The Vote efforts.
The Grammy-winning artist will be joining former First Lady Michelle Obama as she rallies support for the vice president just outside Philadelphia tomorrow.
The visit to the battleground state comes as the race there is a dead heat.
Trump takes the stage in Warren, Michigan
Trump kisses little MAGA supporter concerned about his ear after shooting
Kamala Harris blasts Trump as ‘one of the biggest losers’ on manufacturing while speaking to union workers in Wisconsin
Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter:
Vice President Kamala Harris is speaking at a campaign event in Janesville, Wisconsin. It’s the first of three stops she is making in the blue wall state today.
Harris is making the campaign stop in an IBEW union hall surrounded by union members.
She joked of having a dream of visiting every IBEW local in the country.
Harris praised unions for their work for a five day work week, paid sick leave and paid vacation and reiterated a line she has said before ‘when unions are strong, America is strong.’
The room was packed for the event with people holding signs that read ‘Vote’ ‘Labor’ and ‘Made in America.’
People chanted ‘Madam President’ at one point as she spoke.
‘The man is angry,’ Harris declared while going after Trump at the lively event.
She also blasted the ex-president as ‘one of the biggest losers of manufacturing jobs in America’ while pointing out the U.S. lost manufacturing jobs during his presidency including before the pandemic.
She said his track record for the auto industry was also a disaster with manufacturers announcing the closure of six auto plants during his presidency and claimed he is an ‘existential threat’ to the labor movement.
One person in the crowd shouted ‘we love you’ as she wrapped up her speech.
Secret Service review of Trump assassination attempt in Butler says agents may face ‘disciplinary action’
The report stated that there were ‘several instances of behaviors and acts by multiple employees that warrant review for corrective counseling.’
In some cases, that could result in ‘disciplinary action,’ it went on.
It listed many failures and communications breakdowns that led to the attempt on Trump’s life.
The House task force on the shooting attempt said in a statement to DailyMail.com Friday:
The Secret Service’s Mission Assurance Review offers answers that align with the Task Force’s own investigation into the agency’s security failures on July 13. Many of the steps to improve security outlined in the Review appear to be headed in the right direction.
However, the Secret Service still needs to take additional steps to create accountability and ensure that the mistakes that occurred on July 13 are not repeated.
Wisconsin Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde chugs beer on podcast before Trump rally
Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Milwaukee, Wis., for DailyMail.com
Eric Hovde appearing on the conservative Ruthless Podcast before Donald Trump’s rally in Milwaukee Friday evening slammed a beer in record time.
He chugged the brew in Brew City before another host could finish his drink.
After the quick chug, Hovde let out a bizarre carnal roar.
Screaming and flexing the Republican was congratulated by the fraternal cadre of show hosts laughing historically at the rambunctious outburst.
Trash truck driver defends Trump after ‘garbage’ comments
Harris says Trump comment on Liz Cheney should DISQUALIFY him
Kamala Harris slammed Donald Trump for his comments on Liz Cheney, saying it ‘disqualified’ him to be president.
Trump, at an event with Tucker Carlson on Thursday, said Cheney, the former Republican congresswomen who endorsed Harris, should be put on a battlefield ‘with nine barrels shooting at her face.’
Democrats immediately criticized him for the comment but Harris took it a step further, saying Trump should no longer be in the presidential race.
‘This must be disqualifying,’ Harris told reporters in Wisconsin. ‘Anyone who wants to be president of the United States who uses that kind of violent rhetoric is clearly is disqualified and unqualified to be president.’
Harris campaign says late-breaking voters are moving their way
By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent
Kamala Harris’ campaign argues that they are winning late-breaking voters in battleground states and credit Donald Trump’s rally at Madison Square Garden as a turning point.
‘Our internal data is telling us and showing us that we are winning battleground voters who have made up their minds in the last week, and we’re winning them by double digit margin,’ a campaign official told reporters on a briefing call.
‘I’m chuckling little because I’m happy to see this,’ the official noted of the data.
The official also noted the campaign did a focus group with undecided voters in a battleground state and Madison Square Garden rally came up repeatedly.
The campaign said it was seeing the rally was a ‘last straw for these folks, and the thing that really helped them see what the choice was in front of them. And they clearly did not like what they were seeing from Donald Trump.’
At the Madison Square Garden event, comedian Tony Hinchcliffe, a Trump supporter, went viral when he called Puerto Rico a ‘floating island of garbage.’ He later said he was a joke but Puerto Ricans were outraged.
‘It really kind of crystallized for them, the choice in their minds between the vice president, who they are seeing talk about being a president for everyone, someone focused on them and solving their problems, and Trump and these really kind of dark, divisive language and events and activities,’ the Harris campaign official said.
When will the next president be announced? It may not be on Election Day
The biggest election night mystery of 2024 may not be whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris gains the White House – but when Americans will find out who won.
With polls showing the race a virtual coin flip between Trump and Harris, the November 5 election looks to be perhaps the closest in history.
That will likely spell a long, drawn out round of mail-in ballot counts and even recounts depending on the state.
If any of the seven battlegrounds are close, counting could drag on well into November 6 and beyond.
The 2020 election was not called for Joe Biden until four days later – on the following Saturday.
On Election Day in 2000, Democrat Al Gore conceded in the wee hours the next morning, but then spectacularly rescinded his not-legally-binding concession.
When will the next president be announced?
That will likely spell a long, drawn out round of mail-in ballot counts and even recounts depending on the state.
Arizona must release list of 98K voters impacted by ‘registration glitch’
A judge ruled that the Arizona secretary of state must release list of over 98,000 voters in the swing state who were ‘mistakenly’ registered to vote before their citizenship status was determined.
State Attorney General Kris Mayes said the ‘majority’ of those listed are American citizens.
The vast majority of these voters are citizens.There’s no real evidence that they’re not, and that’s why the supreme court ruled what it did, which is it’s OK for all of these voters to be given both state and federal ballots.
The list of names and accompanying documents will be used to verify the citizenship status of those impacted by the glitch.
Arizona is one of the closest-watched swing states and the outcome of the election could come down to a handful of votes.
Bets on the 2024 election updated live on a screen in Times Square
Harris team ready for Trump to declare a premature victory on Election Night
By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent
Kamala Harris’ campaign is prepared for Donald Trump to declare victory on Election Night even if there is no official result.
‘We fully expect that he does this but this should be no surprise, because he lies all the time and he wants to sow doubt about a loss that he anticipates is coming,’ a campaign official said on a briefing call with reporters.
In the 2020 election, Trump prematurely declared victory on Election Night even though it took five days for an official result that showed Joe Biden was the winner.
The then-president came to the White House East Room at 2:30 am to falsely claim he won. ‘This is a fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election,’ Trump said four years ago.
The Harris campaign said they are ready for a similar scenario this year.
‘It won’t work,’ the Harris official said. ‘He did this before it failed. If he does it again, it will fail.’
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris’ path to victory in the 2024 election if they DON’T win Pennsylvania
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have clearly set their sights on Pennsylvania as key to victory in the presidential election.
But all roads to the White House do not run through the Keystone State – and each candidate has a winning detour despite dominating the news cycle with their recent stops there.
Harris recently held campaign events in Erie and Washington Crossing, after which she did her ‘It’s gotta stop!’ combative interview with Fox News’ Brett Baier that her staffers stepped in to abruptly end after she showed up late.
And Trump garnered a horde of headlines off his recent Pennsylvania whistle-stops, especially one in Latrobe, outside Pittsburgh, where he delivered a literal locker-room tale about golf legend Jack Nicklaus that drew quite a bit of attention.
Still, Pennsylvania with its 19 electoral votes is the biggest of the seven battleground states – one that that could swing either way and singlehandedly decide the race.
And the latest polling is showing the race in a dead heat in the crucial swing state, with Trump up less than half a point in the Real Clear Politics average.
While the path forward to the necessary 270 electoral votes becomes much more complicated without Pennsylvania, it does not mean the race is over for either Trump or Harris.
Catch up on the latest election news with Daily Mail’s poll tracker
Ahead of the 2024 Presidential election, see how Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are really faring among voters with DailyMail.com’s brilliant poll tracker.
Our interactive graphs give invaluable insight into how pollsters are predicting the outcome of the race.
With less than a week to go, the polls are on a knife’s edge and the race is too close to call.
The winner will ultimately decided in the seven swing states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona.
The margins in each of the battleground are razor thin, and the next president could be decided by just a few thousand votes.
All of the data used in our analysis comes from Harris versus Trump polls collated by DailyMail.com’s pollsters J.L. Partners and FiveThirtyEight.
These two districts could decide the fate of the nation
After the dramatic shake up at the top of the Democratic presidential ticket, Democrats are growing more confident in their ability to hold the White House and Senate and flip the House with Kamala Harris as their presidential nominee.
But two congressional districts could help decide the country’s fate not just at the top of the ticket come November but also both chambers of Congress: Pennsylvania’s eighth congressional district and Nebraska’s second congressional district.
The case for watching these two districts to know where the election is headed was first made by former New York Congressman and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair Steve Israel.
After the dramatic shake up at the top of the Democratic presidential ticket, Democrats are growing more confident in their ability to hold the White House and Senate and flip the House with Kamala Harris as their presidential nominee.
But two congressional districts could help decide the country’s fate not just at the top of the ticket come November but also both chambers of Congress: Pennsylvania’s eighth congressional district and Nebraska’s second congressional district.
The case for watching these two districts to know where the election is headed was first made by former New York Congressman and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chair Steve Israel.
Exclusive:Labour activists’ Kamala Harris campaign has 43% of Americans fearing U.K. election interference, poll reveals
Nearly half of American voters believe the U.K. is ‘interfering’ in their election after Labour Party activists volunteered to campaign for Kamala Harris.
The finding threatens to ‘poison’ the transatlantic relationship over the next four years if Donald Trump retakes the White House, according to people close to the former president.
In an exhaustive DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners final national poll before Election Day voters were asked whether the development amounted to election interference.
Of the 1,000 respondents 43 percent said it was election interference, while 28 percent said it was not, and 29 percent were unsure.
Both Republicans and Democrats were among those surveyed for the poll, which showed Trump with a three-point national lead over Harris.
Democratic Rep. predicts there ‘will be blood’ if Harris wins the 2024 election
A Democratic congressman predicted Thursday there ‘may be blood’ if Harris wins the presidential election.
Rep. Steve Cohen, D-Tenn, told NewsNation’s Dan Abrams that he believes Harris will win both the electoral college and the popular vote.
But he warned that he believes Trump will ‘stop at nothing’ if the Democrat is declared the winner.
‘I think Trump won’t stop at anything. It will be in courts, it will be in litigation, it will be telling people again to go to the Capitol if you want to have a country and fight like hell,’ he said.
‘I mean, we’re going to have — there may be blood and there’s some concern.’
Russia and the US are ‘on the brink of direct military conflict’, with Biden to blame, Putin’s foreign minister warns
The United States and Russia are very close to engaging in ‘direct military conflict,’ Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned in an interview published Friday in a Turkey daily, just days ahead of a US presidential election.
‘Under the current president (Joe Biden), who has taken the downward spiral of Russophobia in the US to its logical conclusion, our countries are on the brink of direct military conflict,’ he told the Hurriyet daily, without elaborating.
Asked about next week’s US election pitting former Republican president Donald Trump against Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, Lavrov said the outcome would make little difference to Russia.
‘We have no preference. When the Trump administration was in power, it adopted the highest number of anti-Russian sanctions compared to its predecessors,’ he said.
‘No matter who wins the elections, we don’t think the United States’ anti-Russian bent can change.’
Betting platform Kalshi reveals its odds on when the Associated Press will call the election
Pro-Trump PAC puts out closing ad including Biden’s ‘garbage’ comments
Trump campaign accuses Washington Post of funneling ‘dark money’ into election race with ‘illegal’ in-kind donation to Harris 2024
The Trump campaign has made a formal complaint to the Federal Election Commission accusing the Washington Post of making illegal in-kind contributions to the Harris campaign.
It comes after reports that the troubled newspaper had made a splurge in online advertising to shore itself up as subscribers left after it declined to endorse any candidate.
An analysis by Semafor suggested the result was that anti-Trump stories were being promoted online, while stories about Harris tended to be more neutral in tone.
Their six-page complaint concludes:
The facts support a reasonable inference that the Washington Post made, and Harris for President accepted, an illegal corporate contribution in the form of coordinated communication. Therefore the commssion should find reason to believe a violation has occurred, conduct an immediate investigation and assess an appropriate sanction for this corporate interference … In the alternative, the facts show that the Washington Post made an unreported independent expenditure. Therefore the commission should find reason to believe a violation has occurred and assess an appropriate penalty for this infusion of dark money into the 2024 campaign.
Trump aide Alina Habba fires back at Mark Cuban after his ‘disgusting’ women comments
Biden heads to Philly as Harris keeps her distance
By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent
President Joe Biden will travel Philadelphia later today but he won’t appear with Kamala Harris while he’s in the critical battleground state.
He’ll instead talk to unions about his administration’s work.
And the president will make public comments while dealing with a public controversy surrounding his use of the word garbage and Donald Trump’s supporters.
The White House argued Biden was talking about a single Trump supporter who called Puerto Rico a ‘floating pile of garbage.’ But the Associated Press reported the press office changed the official transcript of Biden’s remarks so “supporters” became “supporter’s.”
Harris was quick to separate herself from Biden on the issue, saying ‘I strongly disagree with any criticism of people based on who they vote for.’ Democratic Senator Bob Casey, who is in a tough re-election bid, will also avoid the president while Biden is in the state.
Biden will head to his home in Wilmington after his Philly stop and then will visit his hometown of Scranton on Saturday.
Harris will hold the last rally of her campaign in Philadelphia on Monday night.
Trump to become first major candidate to visit Dearborn, Michigan, as he woos Arab-Americans
From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent in Dearborn
President Donald Trump is expected to visit a smart brunch stop in Dearborn, Michigan, as he continues to court Arab-Americans incensed by the Biden-Harris administration’s support for Israel’s war in Gaza.
The Great Commoner was screened from view by trucks and a barriers on Friday morning. But inside, customers sipped cappucinos and ordered French toast before security closed off the restaurant completely.
‘I’m very excited,’ said one woman ordering yoghurt and fruit.
Metro Detroit is home to the country’s biggest Arab-American population, with much of it centered in Dearborn. They could decide the outcome of the vote in a state that swung from Donald Trump in 2016 to Joe Biden in 2020.
The Great Commoner’s owner Sam Abbas confirmed the Trump visit to the Associated Press.
We expect some remarks around ending the war and bringing peace to the Middle East. I’m not here to get political. I’m not here to tell people which way I’m voting. I am simply here because our family is being slaughtered and we just want to end the war. Stop the bombing.
Expect protests. A truck sporting an anti-Trump ad is parked around the corner from the restaurant, with a reminder that he would be more pro-Israel than Harris.
Republicans could gain between 2 to 5 seats in the Senate
The Cook Political Report projected Friday that the GOP could gain between two to five seats as they strive to take control of the Senate.
The minimum two gains are in Montana and West Virginia, according to Cook.
Races in Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan still remain toss ups.
Trump’s odds of winning drop in the betting markets
Donald Trump had a substantial lead in his chances of winning the election in the betting markets.
But in the last few days his odds have plummeted on multiple platforms.
Kalshi, one of the prediction websites taking bets, had Trump’s chances of winning at 56 percent compared to Harris’ 44 percent on Friday morning.
On Tuesday, the former president was at 64 percent compared to Harris’ 36 percent.
On Polymarket, Trump’s odds of winning deteriorated from 67 percent on October 30 to 63 percent on Friday morning.
In Real Clear Politics’ average of the betting markets, Trump leads Harris by 60.6 to 38.1 percent.
Earlier this week, the Republican candidate was at 63.9 percent.
New polling gives Kamala Harris an edge in crucial swing states
New polling by Marist shows Kamala Harris with a slight edge in the so-called ‘blue wall’ states with just four days to go before the election.
Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were traditionally Democratic strongholds for years until 2016 when Trump won them. Biden captured them in 2020, so they are up for grabs this election.
The polling found Harris is up three points in Michigan over Donald Trump 51 percent to 48 percent among likely voters. Among Independents, she is up six points.
More than 2.3 million people have already voted in Michigan. For those who have already voted in the election, Harris has 63 percent. Among those who have yet to vote, 59 percent said they support Trump.
In Pennsylvania, she’s up two points 50 percent to 48 percent. The polling shows a 19-point lead among Independents toward Harris. She also has 63 percent among voters who have already cast ballots. More than 1.6 million people have voted in the state.
In Wisconsin, she is up two points, 50 percent to 48 percent as well including by six points among Independents. She is also up fourteen points among those who say they have already voted. More than 1.2 million people have already voted there.
Both candidates are campaigning heavily in seven battleground states. But if the vice president wins all three blue wall states, she will clinch the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the White House.
How crypto’s $200million 2024 election bet has made digital currency a top campaign issue
Even if you don’t know a blockchain from a NFT, these numbers are hard to dismiss: More than $200 million from cryptocurrency companies is expected to be pumped into the 2024 election cycle as the tech industry works overtime to boost its political influence.
And the emerging tech giants aren’t selectively backing Republicans or Democrats -any candidate, from president all the way down to small congressional districts, who champions crypto puts themselves in a position to score the big bucks.
But will the political plays by so-called ‘Big Crypto’ pay off in the long run?
Crypto, which includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin and more, is a form of digital currency that can be used to make ‘decentralized’ transactions online without oversight by a bank or government.
The industry is keen on having a less-regulated playing field to serve as a sandbox for development of crypto. Opponents and monetary traditionalists, meanwhile, want additional regulations on the alternative, digital currencies.
Fairshake, a political action committee (PAC), and others pushing pro-crypto legislation are going big with nearly $119 million already spent out of $200 million raised.
And billionaire former President Donald Trump weighing in on the importance of the alternative financial industry as he campaigns for a White House return shows that it isn’t going away anytime soon.
Trump tells Tucker Carlson what keeps him going
Inside the only county that’s predicted the last 11 presidents – and who they are voting for in the 2024 election
Tucked away in the far northwest corner of country just before the cliffs drop off into the Pacific Ocean lies America’s last true bellwether county.
A decidedly purple place, the small, rural region of Clallam County in Washington boasts an unmatched record of voting for every presidential election winner since Ronald Reagan in 1980.
This is the longest success streak of any of America’s 3,143 counties.
Now all eyes are on this unassuming county once again to see which way the wind is blowing for 2024, as vice president Kamala Harris faces off against former president Donald Trump in a divisive, neck and neck race.
When traveling across Clallam County, the tight nature of the 2024 election is on full display.
Visitors heading west into town on Highway 101 are met with a series of Harris-Walz yard signs, shortly before a massive Trump-Vance banner shows up in the same stretch of field.
DailyMail.com asks New Yorkers who they are voting for… and there are some surprising responses
Harris and Trump hold dueling rallies in Milwaukee
By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will hold duelling rallies within a dozen miles of each other in Milwaukee on Friday night as they battle it out for the battleground state.
Harris will spend the day in Wisconsin, making her closing pitch to voters there. Trump hold a rally in Michigan earlier in the day.
Polls show the race for the state’s 10 electoral votes is tied.
Four of the past six presidential elections in Wisconsin have been decided by less than a point, or fewer than 23,000 votes. Joe Biden won it in 2020 by less than a point. Trump won it over Hillary Clinton in 2016 by less than a point.
Democrats see Wisconsin – along with Pennsylvania and Michigan – as part of the ‘blue wall’ that will win them the election.
Harris is wrapping up her campaign in those states, Wisconsin on Friday; Michigan on Sunday and Pennsylvania on Monday.
Kamala Harris’ potential cabinet candidates include Pete Buttigieg, Liz Cheney, and a defund the police activist
As speculation mounts about what a Kamala Harris cabinet might look like if she wins, Washington politicos are curious: Will she push for a continuation of the Biden administration or try to unburden herself from his record and chart a fresh course?
For her first three years as vice president, Harris was burdened by Biden’s close-knit staff, who held her at an arm’s length but a win in the Nov. 5 election would afford her the opportunity to clean house and set her own agenda – and legacy.
If elected, Harris would strike three firsts, as not only the the first woman president but also, first black female and first South Asian elected to the nation’s highest office.
Those historic distinctions would likely set her on a path to creating the most diverse and forward-looking cabinet, just as she did when she took office as vice president.
But Harris already faces criticism for her record of poor management.
Her staff fell apart one by one as they fled her office complaining about her bullying behavior, short-fused temper, and exhaustive demands.
White House ‘altered transcript’ of Biden’s garbage remarks despite fears it was ‘breach of protocol’
The White House altered the official transcript of a call President Biden did with Latino supporters where he appeared to call Trump supporters ‘garbage’, according to reports by the Associated Press.
The comments were made in response to a joke Tony Hinchcliffe made at Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally about Puerto Rico being a ‘floating island of garbage.’
According to the official transcript prepared by White House stenographers, Biden said on the Tuesday call: ‘The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters – his – his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.’
However, the transcript released by the White House press office altered the word supporters. It said ‘supporter’s’ rather than a plural ‘supporters.’
This change, according to aides, corrects Biden’s statement to imply he was criticizing Hinchcliffe alone, not the millions of Americans voting for Trump, the Associated Press reported.
Trump trailing in critical voting bloc in Pennsylvania
By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent
Donald Trump is trailing Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania’s early voting with a once reliable Republican voting bloc: seniors.
Republicans won the senior vote in the past five presidential elections.
In Pennsylvania, where voters over the age of 65 have cast nearly half of the early ballots, registered Democrats account for about 58% of that vote, compared to 35% for Republicans, according to an analysis by Politico.
Both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters aged 65 and older in the critical battleground state.
Polls also show Trump is trailing with that voting bracket. A Fox News poll of Pennsylvania found Trump is running 5 points behind Harris among voters ages 65 and over.
The senior vote is important in five of the seven battleground states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and North Carolina — that have more voters over the age of 65 than the national average, according to census data.
Liz Cheney responds to Trump’s comments
Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania poll
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied in in a new poll in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.
The USA TODAY/Suffolk poll shows the two candidates both on 49 percent support.
The survey of 500 voters was conducted from October 27 to October 30 and had a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
A poll of 300 likely voters in Erie County, a key battleground within Pennsylvania, was also tied with Harris and Trump both on 48 percent.
For the latest on where Trump and Harris stand in Pennsylvania and the other six battleground states visit DailyMail.com’s up-to-the-minute guide to polling and other crucial data about each one.
The stunning gender divide between Trump and Harris in the 2024 election is laid bare in new poll
by Rob Crilly, Chief Political Correspondent
If 2016 was the education election, when voters divided depending on whether or not they had been to college, then 2024 is shaping up to be a battle of the sexes.
The full extent of the gender divide in America is laid bare in the latest DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners.
It found that former President Donald Trump has widened his lead with men, and now has a 22-point lead among male voters.
At the same time, Vice President Kamala Harris has extended her lead among female voters, and now has a 14-point lead with women.
It is an extraordinary number in a race that has been otherwise tight.
Trump sparks outrage as he suggests Republican opponent Liz Cheney might not be such a ‘war hawk’ if she had guns pointed at her during Tucker Carlson interview
Donald Trump has sparked outrage after asking how Liz Cheney would feel with ‘guns trained on her face’ while speaking at a campaign event just days before the election.
Trump appeared in Glendale, Arizona with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson on Thursday night when he called Cheney a ‘dumb war hawk’ and suggested she face a firing squad.
‘She’s a radical war hawk,’ Trump began. ‘Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, okay, let’s see how she feels about it. You know, when the guns are trained on her face.’
Trump had mentioned Liz Cheney’s father, former GOP Vice President Dick Cheney, before he unleashed the diatribe.
‘I don’t blame him for sticking with his daughter. But his daughter’s a very dumb individual, very dumb,’ Trump said.
Jennifer Lopez goes after Trump comic’s Puerto Rican dig as she asks voters to give Kamala Harris a ‘Hollywood ending’
Jennifer Lopez brought a dose of Hollywood glamour to the campaign trail as she urged voters in Nevada to give Kamala Harris a silver screen ending and expressed outrage over the Puerto Rico dig made at Donald Trump‘s Madison Square Garden rally.
The actress and singer said she was a ‘lover’ and didn’t mean to ‘trash’ anyone – ‘even facing the biggest adversary I think America has ever had’ – but she had something to say about that ‘garbage’ comment.
Exclusive:Kamala Harris’ biggest blunder of her campaign against Trump revealed by new poll
According to the poll of 1,000 likely voters, her ‘biggest blunder’ is that she would ‘not change anything’ from the Biden administration.
Harris was asked on The View last month about what she would change about Biden’s presidency.
‘There is not a thing that comes to mind,’ Harris responded.
Harris defended the president’s record and added: ‘I’ve been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact.’
But for voters in the DailyMail.com poll, that answer could be fatal for her election chances.
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